The Random Mumblings of a Disgruntled Muscular Minarchist
Igitur qui desiderat pacem praeparet bellum
Monday, December 27, 2021
the Dubious Distinction of Being First?
Wednesday, November 17, 2021
The trouble with Citrix
Tuesday, November 16, 2021
Kafka got nothin' on Taxachussetts
Sunday, October 17, 2021
It might help you, or someone you know
Thursday, August 26, 2021
Been putting this off as long as I could...
Wednesday, August 25, 2021
You have to pay attention
Tuesday, July 06, 2021
Papers and Letters and Keywords, Oh My!
Sunday, July 04, 2021
Independence Day
Sunday, May 23, 2021
Invaluable Phone Rescue Tool
Tuesday, May 11, 2021
The most important technological development in... wow
Wednesday, May 05, 2021
Potentially better news
I had my first meeting and first sample collection for the first series of genetic testing, with my new oncologist.
She's one of the leading oncologists in biologic and genetic immunotherapies. The good news is she thinks that yeah, the large defined mass circled in green is almost certainly cancer, but there's a good chance the orange stuff is either not cancer, or is not sufficiently advanced that it I wouldn't be a good candidate for immunotherapy, and that I have a good chance of responding well to it. Maybe double or triple the chance of surviving a year or more than my surgeon was thinking...
...If... and it's a BIG IF...
...the genetic testing comes back showing that I am a good candidate and the cancer is the right kind of cancer with the right genetic and molecular makeup.
Oh and yeah, there's apparently new kinds of pathology and new kinds of molecular testing of the cancer tissues that helps them tailor the treatment exactly to your cancer, with biologic or genetic immunotherapy.
I'm having a biopsy in the next few days or week and they'll send that tissue out for both genetic and molecular analysis, as well as conventional pathology. Those various series of tests are going to take 3 to 6 week.
So... yeah... I'll know more in 3-6 weeks
Monday, May 03, 2021
Time to go BACK to War
I had a consult with my oncological surgeon... and it was pretty bad news.
What it comes down to, is about an 85% chance that I'll be gone within a year, and about a 15% chance of survival.
I'm attaching two pictures here. These are frames from my PET scan with contrast. The hotspots circled in red are definitely cancer, that we already knew about.
Those are in my neck. The rest, are in my lungs, and that's the problem.
The hotspots in green, are almost certainly cancer... That we didn't know about until the PET scan. It's not confirmed, but it isn't just a hot spot on the contrast, there's also some visible structure in the CT... it's about 85% certain that its cancer.
... And this cancer would be inoperable.
The orange hot spots are potentially cancer, because of the hot spotting, but they don't have much or any structure visible in the CT without contrast. They're only about 15% likely to be cancer. However, if they are... then they're likely not treatable, and I likely only have a few fairly unpleasant and painful months left to live. Less than a year certainly.
If the only new cancer is the green, then theres a good chance that I am a good candidate for immunotherapy. My care team is consulting with several different oncology specialists now, and will get back to me soon with potential treatment options.
My next year is... likely going to be very difficult, and very painful. If the treatment works, great... but it's gonna REALLY hurt the entire damn time.
I'm not sure how much longer I'll be able to work... My plan is to work as long as I can, and then try to use my short and long term disability insurance... See how that goes.
But what it comes down to... is that I'm probably dying.
If that happens... I'm OK with it. I came to terms with that back in 2012 when I had just a 4% chance of surviving.
But my plan, is to survive, at least long enough to see my son graduate college... and he's got another at least 14 years to go... so... time to go back to war.
UPDATE:
I had my first meeting and first sample collection for the first series of genetic testing, with my new oncologist.
She's one of the leading oncologists in biologic and genetic immunotherapies. The good news is she thinks that yeah, the large defined mass circled in green is almost certainly cancer, but there's a good chance the orange stuff is either not cancer, or is not sufficiently advanced that it I wouldn't be a good candidate for immunotherapy, and that I have a good chance of responding well to it. Maybe double or triple the chance of surviving a year or more than my surgeon was thinking...
...If... and it's a BIG IF...
...the genetic testing comes back showing that I am a good candidate and the cancer is the right kind of cancer with the right genetic and molecular makeup.
Oh and yeah, there's apparently new kinds of pathology and new kinds of molecular testing of the cancer tissues that helps them tailor the treatment exactly to your cancer, with biologic or genetic immunotherapy.
I'm having a biopsy in the next few days or week and they'll send that tissue out for both genetic and molecular analysis, as well as conventional pathology. Those various series of tests are going to take 3 to 6 week.
So... yeah... I'll know more in 3-6 weeks.
Wednesday, March 31, 2021
Value for Money
Friday, March 19, 2021
Narrative Exploitation and Manipulation
Monday, February 15, 2021
Streamlight gets back in the game
Streamlight finally decided to properly compete against the Surefire Stiletto/Stiletto Pro (which I have, and love by the by):
https://www.streamlight.com/products/detail/index/wedge
I'd say it's positioned in between the Stiletto and Stiletto pro, and closer to the Pro in features, but closer to the base model in price.
It's not quite as feature rich as the pro, but in theory has the same light output on max and high... At least for short bursts at max anyway, which is really a HEAT limitation issue. There's just not as much mass of aluminum in the wedge to act as a heat sink, and the Stiletto Pro gets quite hot, surprisingly quickly.
The Wedge has considerably longer battery life than the Stiletto Pro on 300 lumens (double the run time in theory, probably a fair bit less than that in practice), it's 15% lighter (3.3oz vs 4oz or just 0.5oz heavier than the 2.8oz base model stiletto), and it's a lot narrower (less than half the width in fact), at very nearly the same thickness.
Also, it uses a waterproof USB-C port, which means you get a full IPX7 submersion rating (at least 1 meter for at least 30 minutes), without having to stick a rubber plug or cover over the port (the same mechanism for water resistance your phone probably uses now). It also means MUCH faster charging than the Stiletto or Pro... or at least potentially so... They'd be silly not to take advantage of that, but manufacturers are sometimes that silly.
That said, it's also about an inch longer, which may be a little too long for some folks pocket carry. It doesn't SOUND like much... just an inch at just under 5.5" total... But that inch is almost 25% longer; perhaps longer than a womans jeans pocket for example, where the 4.5" stiletto pro may fit perfectly.
I'd definitely like to get my hands on one, and compare it to my Stiletto Pro... Which happens to be the best pocket light I've ever had, and that's saying rather a lot, since I've had a HELL of a lot of very high end pocket lights (including many from both SureFire and Streamlight).
If the Wedge is even CLOSE to as good as the Stiletto Pro (or for that matter even the base Stiletto, since it's got much more light output at a longer runtime), then it's a home run; especially given Streamlight tends to price out rather a lot cheaper than surefire at a given feature level.
The announced MSRP is $150, so the street may be anywhere from $110 to $130 (which is only $20 msrp over the $129/$100 msrp/street base stiletto) and WELL below both the MSRP and the street price of the Stiletto pro ($229 and $200 respectively).
... And that's a GREAT value by any measure, presuming it lives up to the spec sheet, or even close to it.
UPDATE: There are a number of online retailers advertising it at between $85 and $99... which puts it BELOW the street price of the base model stiletto, and HALF or less than the street price of the pro. Which is INSANELY cheap for that capability.
Accordingly, I've got my pre-order in... $100 flat, after tax and shipping, expected ship date has been listed by several sites as April 15th, but a couple have it as March 21st. We'll see what the actual date ends up as.
That word? I do not think it means, what you think it means...
"Oh those RINOs and NEO-CONS won't do anything... we have to purge the party of these spineless unprincipled traitors"
It's kinda funny... I generally find most who use the terms neo-con or RINO, except ironically or as a joke, to be unable to define either in a meaningful way.
Much as George Orwell wrote about the term "fascism" in "Politics and the English Language", for almost everyone using the terms, "RINO" and "NEO-CON", are just signifiers for "things and people I don't like".
Thing is... The only current Republican members of congress (both house and senate) who can fairly be called "RINO", are Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski, Brian Fitzpatrick, Chris Smith, John Katko, and Jeff VanDrew (who actually was a democrat until last year).
Everyone else, is absolutely within the "normal spread" of positions for Republicans... That includes Ben Sasse, Pat Toomey, Fred Upton, Mitt Romney, Liz Cheney, and most of the other congresscritters (not on the RINO list above) that voted to impeach Trump.
In fact, several of those that voted for impeachment, are notably far MORE conservative than Trump... The first couple I mentioned above have lifetime ratings over 90% from the American conservative union, and almost always vote with the party (they're available online from http://acuratings.conservative.org/acu-federal-legislative-ratings/ )
The first major mistake many make, is in thinking that loyalty to, or agreement with, Donald Trump; is any kind of criteria for being a Republican, or a conservative... Since Trump was and is, neither of those things. Trump is an ACTUAL Republican in name only, and always has been... He was officially a democrat, until he needed to be a Republican, at which point he officially signed up to be a republican... but he never actually changed anything other than the initial beside his name.
The second, and fundamental mistake however, is in thinking the republican party is actually conservative, or in fact has EVER been conservative, by any meaningful definition of the term (except perhaps, relative to the actual left).
The Republican party is, and since reconstruction mostly has been, a moderate centrist party about MOST things... Generally averse to change and risk, and generally collegial in reality, regardless of the rhetoric fed to the base for fundraising purposes.
Even Reagan wasn't ACTUALLY conservative... He talked a good game, but in reality, he was as much a "neo-con" as Bill Kristol.
Barry Goldwater was the closest thing to an actual conservative in the post war Republican party... and he was really more libertarian than conservative by modern sensibilities (though he of course considered himself to be conservative, and was mostly thought of as such in his time). Before Goldwater, you need to go back to Coolidge to get an actual conservative.... and before that... Ummm...
.... Yeah... Look at the history... The Republican party is NOT conservative, and never really has been.
Historically speaking, post reconstruction, the majority of the republican party, has been in the mold of Bush the elder, Nelson Rockefeller, Gerald Ford, Richard Nixon, Dwight Eisenhower, and Herbert Hoover... RELATIVELY conservative compared to "progressive" leftists in the democratic party, they're still for Big Government, just not AS big as Democrats. They're still just as paternalist as Dems, only about different things in different ways. They're in favor of plenty of control, intervention, and regulation, on both social and economic issues... because everyone has their "special" cases, and those "special pleadings" add up.
Reagan was a near literal revolution in the party, and he wasn't even actually that conservative... He was RHETORICALLY conservative, but in fact he governed as what most who identify as "conservative" today (who, mostly, are very definitely NOT conservative in any meaningful way), would call a RINO... Or if they actually knew what the term means, pretty close to a neo-con. He was a free spending, massive debt accumulating, heavily interventionist in domestic affairs, heavily interventionist in foreign affairs, massively intrusive, NON-conservative; by anything like a reasonable definition of the term. He just TALKED about being otherwise... and how that was better.
... Which it IS... but he didn't even try to actually govern that way...
In fact, the Reagan administration and Republican congressional leadership, essentially made what some might consider a "corrupt bargain" with the Democratic senate majority leader Robert Byrd (for the first and last years of his term... the Republicans had a narrow senate majority for 6 of Reagans 8 years) and Democratic speaker of the house during his presidency Tip O'neil (all but the last few months anyway); wherein the Republicans got most of THEIR spending priorities passed through congress and signed by the president, and in exchange, so did the Democrats... and both knew that was happening, so they were able to freely posture, to raise money off "fighting for their constituency", while in reality, there was always a deal to be made.
Which ACTUALLY meant that the government was doing FAR MORE than it had ever done since WW2... And not coincidentally SPENDING far more than it had since WW2, and accumulating FAR MORE DEBT than it had since WW2.
The fact is, Goldwater and Coolidge were major outliers, and exceptions to the general run of Republican candidates and presidents... and were largely unpopular within the party because of it.
For that matter, Reagan was also unpopular within the party, until he placated the southern religious social conservatives after his brokered convention loss in '76 (which happened in the first place, because he offended said southern religious social conservatives, in an attempt to gain broad centrist appeal, by selecting a more liberal Republican running mate, and saying a few things the leaders of that block didn't care for... Had he not pissed off the southern faction of the leadership, Reagan would have won the nomination in '76... but probably lost the presidency).
The social conservatives have never actually been a majority in the party... Only a plurality... A little less than 40% at peak... but they're a very LOUD plurality minority... and those opposed to them are very LOUD too, about how big and bad the social conservatives are; making them seem like they were and are much more powerful and consequential than they actually are... or for that matter, much more conservative, and much more principled and consistent than they actually are.
... But every national candidate in the Republican party has to make the southern religious social conservatives at least tolerate them, because said southern social conservatives have enough power and mass to BLOCK someone. They can't actually MAKE the king... as I said, they're less than 40%... but they can keep someone from being crowned, and no other single block is able to do so, because no other single block is more than about 25% of the party... Nor is any other single block motivated and organized enough to do so.
But that doesn't make the party actually conservative, or actually socially conservative, at the national level (local is an entirely different story... State and local level politics are a totally different beast).
One other thing the party has very firmly NOT been, along with "actually conservative" is POPULIST... In fact, they've GENERALLY been rather the opposite, at least when it comes to national and international issues and policies (local is a different matter entirely).
Until Trump that is...
Or at least the Republican party hasn't been populist since the FIRST Roosevelt... who was VERY firmly a populist progressive (Hoover wasn't a populist by nature, but he took some seemingly populist... and quite harmful... actions based on some truly epically bad advice from his cabinet and congressional caucus)...
Actually, TR would have been a quite "progressive" democrat in the post WW2 period up through the late 60s or so, and he had a disturbing tendency towards fascism (seems to have run in the family).
Hell... TR could easily have been LBJ, or his cousin Franklin...
...He wanted strong social safety nets set up and paid for by government, with socialized pensions and healthcare. He was for strong protectionist tariffs and strongly against free trade. He was pro-union and anti-corporation to a shocking degree, and he was pro-government regulation of almost everything. Read "The New Nationalism", and it's like postwar democrats fantasy platform...
...except that TR was personally moral and ethical, unlike the thoroughly unethical, amoral, and frankly evil, racist rapist that LBJ was.
So... if you're an actual conservative or libertarian or "conservatarian", guess what... YOU are the one who is a Republican in name only.
If you're one of those who is using RINO as an insult to describe Republican party members who aren't at all conservative, you've got the perspective reversed, because THEY ARE THE PARTY; not the conservatives and libertarians, who generally VOTE republican, because they are less awful than the realistic alternatives.
... If you think about what the party actually is, as opposed to what you think it SHOULD BE... Well... RINO... isn't an insult, or at least it shouldn't be. It's kinda like that line "Your boos mean nothing, I've seen what makes you cheer".